Abstract: The success probability of TBM(Tactical Ballistic Missile)without countermea-sures is dropping with the development of ballistic missile defense technology has been more and more perfect.

• 文摘:由于弹道导弹防御技术的不断发展完善，没有突防手段的战术弹道导弹进攻的成功概率正在不断下降。