Based on Bayes method,probability principle is used to analyze the problem, then the ranking of the surface targets that may encounter the enemy air attack is estimated,and then an example is given.

• 针对这一问题,根据贝叶斯方法,利用概率进行分析,并对其中的先验概率改用极大似然估计处理,对可能遭敌空袭的地面目标进行判估排序,并结合示例进行计算和验证。