The results indicated that it was accurate and reliable to predict inpatients number with time sequence approach in department of oncology.

• 时间序列法预测肿瘤科住院人数结果准确、可靠,它弥补了其它预测方法的不足,说明使用时间序列法进行肿瘤科住院人数的预测,具有较强的科学性和适用性。