The autoregressive model is applied to the monthly runoff probability forecast. 把自回归模型用于月径流过程概率预报中。
By reviewing the Revised MSB, we can choose the independent variables of the regression model and decrease the calculation. 本文应用均方误差的方法,构造出修正均方误差准则,通过考察修正均方误差,来对回归模型的自变量做出选择。